Methodology

Methodology

Why Most Banks Can't Identify Their Own Risks

The gap between having a risk register and having a risk identification process. And why the regulator sees the difference immediately.

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Regulatory

Regulatory

The One Thing Regulators Always Find Missing

Across PRA, EBA, and the Fed, the same finding appears in supervisory reviews year after year. Here's what it is and how to fix it.

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Methodology

Methodology

Your Risk Heatmap Is Lying to You

If you don't attach a data quality rating to every risk score, you're presenting false precision to the Board. Here's why it matters.

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Case Study

Case Study

I Was Global Head of Risk Identification — Here's What I Learned

What it's actually like to build a risk identification function from scratch at a global bank. The wins, the resistance, and the lessons.

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Methodology

Methodology

The Reconciliation Loop: Where Risk Identification Dies

Most banks do top-down OR bottom-up identification. Almost none iterate between them. This is where the process breaks down.

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Methodology

Methodology

What a Bow-Tie Diagram Actually Tells You

Beyond the textbook: how to build bow-ties that are useful for Board communication and actually improve risk understanding.

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Regulatory

Regulatory

Quarterly Re-Identification: What the Fed Expects and Most Banks Don't Do

Fed SR 15-18 requires quarterly risk re-identification, not just re-assessment. The distinction matters for CCAR compliance.

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Industry

Industry

Climate Risk Identification: It's Not a Standalone Category

Why treating climate as a separate risk type misses the point. How to map transmission channels through your existing taxonomy.

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Case Study

Case Study

Barings to Credit Suisse: Why Governance Bypass Keeps Killing Banks

From Nick Leeson to Archegos, the same failure mode repeats: known risks escalated and ignored. Three decades of evidence from the Industry Loss Database.

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Case Study

Case Study

179 Bank Failures — The 10 Failure Modes That Explain Almost All of Them

Concentration blindness, model overreliance, cultural suppression, governance bypass. A pattern analysis of the Industry Loss Database.

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Case Study

Case Study

The S&L Crisis to SVB: How Concentration Blindness Repeats Every 15 Years

Different decades, different asset classes, identical failure. Why concentration risk keeps slipping through identification processes.

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Case Study

Case Study

Wirecard and Greensill: Emerging Risk Blindness in the 2020s

When fintech complexity outpaces the risk identification process. What these failures teach about horizon scanning and the Delphi method.

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